Democratic surge in Texas primaries gives Republicans reason to worry

Female candidates score major wins in Texas primaries

Female candidates score major wins in Texas primaries

But Republicans now show signs of smartening up to one basic law of the jungle primary - when too many candidates from one party run, they can splinter their supporters' vote so much that none of them makes the runoff. Democrats in the state are proudly touting the fact that for the first time in over two decades, the party has fielded candidates in all of Texas' 36 congressional districts.

"They still have a long way to go", said Matt Mackowiak, a Republican consultant in Austin, Texas, who contended that without Trump on the ballot in November, Democrats may yet have problems motivating voters to come out to the polls.

"Voter turnout has been historically lethargic and low and so that has to be a trend that reverses", said UTEP Professor Dr. Charles Boehmer, who believes rural counties will undoubtedly be solidly Republican and vote for Cruz. On the House side, Democrats are putting up candidates in every Texas district for the first time in over 25 years. Democrats had a slight edge during early voting, but on election night, Republicans turned out to the polls in high numbers. Within that primary turnout, the Republicans had an advantage over the Democrats, but it was significantly less pronounced than in 2018.

All of this, of course, depends on how indicative primary turnout is for the general election.

The general election is in November.

A little more than 1.8 million votes were cast in the 2014 Texas primaries, down 10 percent from the 2010 primaries.

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The more interesting figures are those from independents, who give the generic Democrat a 35 percent to 29 percent lead over Trump, with a full 35 percent undecided. (The five percent gerrymandered advantage still applies).

There also could be a one-party run for governor, as Democratic Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom and ex-Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa have paced the field since polling began early a year ago. No Democrat has won a race for either since. The race is seen as part of a war within the Democratic Party.

Pollster Scott Rasmussen summed up the fluid nature of the current political climate in an article published on Thursday.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer unveiled the Democratic proposal to raise taxes on corporations and wealthy Americans to help finance a $1 trillion infrastructure bill this week; saying the widely-popular GOP tax cuts were failing and should be repealed.

The primary results, Rasmussen wrote, "confirmed that the Democratic enthusiasm is real, but it's probably not strong enough to turn Texas blue".

And if early voting is any indication, Democrats enthusiasm is translating into votes.

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