Prepare for a hot spring and a blistering summer Global warming hits home
"In coastal regions, when the maximum temperature reaches over 37°C, which is 4.5°C above normal, it is classified as a heat wave-like situation", the Hindu quoted Ajay Kumar, a scientist at IMD Mumbai, as saying.
The "normal" temperatures refer to the mean temperatures during these months between 1981 and 2010.
The average temperatures from March to May across North India are likely to be above normal by more than one degree Celsius, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said in its seasonal forecast.
The biggest change is expected in Himachal, J&K and Uttarakhand, with temperature changes of over 2.4 degrees.
The MeT office, in a statement, said average temperatures in Delhi, along with neighbouring states of Haryana, Punjab and Rajasthan, can soar over 1.5 degrees Celsius above normal levels.
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"It is likely to be 0.5°C over Kerala, Tamil Nadu, south interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema".
Previous year too, the IMD had forecast summer temperatures in several parts of north, northwest, central and east India to be over 1 degree Celsius of their historical summer normals. "Remaining subdivisions are likely to experience minimum temperature anomalies between 0.5°C & 1°C". "Since December 1, the region received just four WDs affecting the northern plains as opposed to a normal of around nine during the three months", said Kuldeep Srivastava, head of IMD's Regional Weather Forecasting Centre here. This zone covers the states of Delhi, Punjab, Himachal, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Rajasthan, UP, Gujarat, MP, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Bengal, Orissa and Telangana, Marathwada, Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra and coastal Andhra.
It is said in the estimation of the department that temperature in Delhi can be more disturbing.
As for any hopes of monsoons bringing respite, the met department said it was too early to predict accurately, but La Nina conditions, that bring heavy rains, are likely to be moderate till spring season and are likely to start weakening thereafter.
The rise in temperature will not have a major impact on the current rabi production unless there are excessive heat wave conditions. "This shows a global warming trend", he added as per a TOI report.
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