
A woman uses a smartphone in front of an electronic stock indicator of a securities firm in Tokyo Wednesday Feb. 28 2018. Asian shares slid in subdued trading Wednesday after the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve said that he's feeling more optimistic
Core PCE rose 0.3%, month over month, bringing it to 1.5% year over year.
It was Powell's first congressional appearance since becoming chairman of the Federal Reserve on February 5. The moderate wage growth is one of the signs for the labor market slackness.
It first sent the US Dollar and American bond yields surging and then sank US stock markets, which inevitably spilled over into global markets.
However, that projection came before Congress passed a $1.5 trillion tax cut in late December and a boost of $300 billion in domestic and military spending as part of a budget deal reached in January.
The Fed's job is to strike a balance between two goals: maximum employment and low inflation. This triggered concerns that inflation was imminent, and that the Fed would institute interest rate increases which would slow the economy.
Lawmakers will have the ample opportunity for questions so markets will listening closely to Powell's responses.
"That's a good first indicator for next week's payrolls, but the services ISM is more important in that regard", says Andrew Grantham, an economist at CIBC Capital Markets.
"The above consensus headline and prices paid data should support the US Dollar and weigh on fixed income".
On the data front we have the latest manufacturing PMI for February which is expected to slip back slightly from January's 55.3 to 55.1.
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"As we head into Fed Chair Powell's second day of testimony, USA equities have remained under pressure, despite bond yields rising", says Robin Wilkin, a global cross asset strategist at Lloyds Banking Group.
The unemployment rate in US has dropped to 4.1 percent, which Powell considered a level "at or near or even below most estimates of the natural rate of unemployment".
Like other Fed officials, Powell said he was surprised inflation and wage gains haven't been more evident, as the economy recovered from the global recession and unemployment dropped to a 17-year low of 4.1 percent. "In the (FOMC's) view, further gradual rate increases in the federal funds rate will best promote attainment of both of our objectives".
Any comments from the Fed chairman about inflation are sure to create heightened interest among observers, since the Federal Reserve makes a point of adjusting interest rates according to the inflation rate, either to stimulate economic growth through lower interest rates or to hold down prices through higher rates. Those comments rekindled speculation in the equity markets about the pace of United States monetary tightening this year being more rapid than expected, amid concerns that higher borrowing rates could crimp corporate activity and cool economic growth. U.S. stocks took another heavy beating last night on worries about rising USA interest rates.
Philip Shaw, chief economist at Investec in London said Powell's testimony was unlikely to change from the one he delivered on Tuesday, putting the focus on the question and answer session.
"In addition to that there are the USA government's protectionist measures - today it may announce import duties on steel and aluminium - and the inflation fears are no longer that far-fetched".
Trump told industry executives Thursday he would impose the tariffs next week. Both these factors are expected to boost USA economic numbers in the quarters ahead.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was up 0.1 percent at 90.700.
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