
Geopolitical Risk Drives Oil Prices Higher
The global benchmark traded at a $4.72 premium to WTI crude. United States crude benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) reached the highest level in three years at $66.55 per barrel, before retreating to $65.53.
The yuan-denominated futures for September settlement were at 433.80 yuan/bbl ($69.16) on the Shanghai International Energy Exchange.
Allowing foreign investors to trade the futures directly is a first for China's commodity markets.
Beijing has set a daily foreign-exchange quota of US$5 billion and is likely to raise the cap in the future to attract more overseas traders to invest in the contracts. "It's all very different".
Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia/Pacific at futures brokerage OANDA in Singapore said there was "considerable resistance" as current or higher prices opened the possibility that even more US shale producers could come back online. Ten foreign intermediaries have registered, including J.P.Morgan, Bands Financial, Straits Financial Services and other Hong Kong based affliates of domestic brokerages.
"It is more of a game changer for the US".
The listed futures are contracts to be delivered between September 2018 and March 2019.
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Chinese trading habits may also be a shock to foreign users, they said.
That concern did not scare off global commodity trading giant Glencore, which according to Chinese brokerage Xinhu Futures, carried out the first trade on the Shanghai crude oil futures. That could complicate efforts to trade spreads between Brent, WTI and Shanghai. China is the world's biggest oil consumer, with eyes on rival benchmarks Brent and WTI as well as the USA currency.
China's steel industry on Tuesday urged Beijing to ensure any increase in steel products seeking a market in the wake of US tariffs did not affect its domestic industry, following the announcement of a European Union import probe. "I still think there is a general reluctance from global investors to trade Chinese-based contracts".
Crude oil futures slipped on Monday as investors cashed in some profits from last week's rally but concerns about Saudi-Iran tensions kept losses in check.
Previous attempts at an Asia benchmark have foundered.
But analysts said the long-delayed Shanghai-traded futures are unlikely to challenge the primacy of NY and London-based futures any time soon due to Chinese capital controls and the entrenched position of the dollar-denominated contracts.
China hopes it can do better: with state-controlled oil majors like PetroChina and Sinopec expected to provide liquidity, analysts said the contract has a chance of succeeding even if it faces short-term caution.
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