
The stock market is not out of the woods
Federal Reserve officials raised their economic outlook in January but remained skeptical that wage growth will rise faster than expected, according to minutes from the central bank's latest policy meeting.
However, investors have grown concerned that signs of rising wage and inflation pressures might prompt it to speed up the rate hikes.
Even with an unemployment rate of 4.1 percent, "Nonetheless, wage growth has been moderate, likely held down in part by the weak pace of productivity growth in recent years".
Embracing higher inflation, however, could cause political problems for the Fed.
The report, by using the same Fed forecasts released in December, stated that Fed officials expect three interest rate hikes this year.
FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, (NYSE) in New York, U.S., February 6, 2018. It's important to note, however, that the Fed convened before new economic data suggesting a possible pickup in inflation.
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England have not yet named the playing XI for the first ODI , but skipper Eoin Morgan has hinted that Stokes will be seen playing. Mitchell Santner also provide a good supporting role. "Taking it towards the end we just didn't have enough in the tank".
At the December meeting, Fed officials signaled that they expected to raise rates another three times in 2018. The dollar index rose 0.16 percent, with the euro down 0.29 percent to $1.2293. Yet five years of below-target inflation, combined with an aging population and slowdown in labor force growth, has sparked a debate over ditching a longstanding 2-per cent price target.
In anticipation of higher interest rates, investors have sold off government debt.
As reported by CNBC, the paper argues that "the consensus view that the Fed's quantitative easing lowered 10-year Treasury yields by 1 percentage point (100 basis points) was overstated, and that Fed asset purchases did not have as much impact on long Treasury yields as generally believed". "In general, valuations are higher than would be expected based exclusively on the current level of longer-term Treasury yields".
But the spotlight will be on the new Fed chair next week when he faces questions from both houses of the U.S. Congress in semi-annual testimony starting on Tuesday, and his audience will include investors who unceremoniously greeted his early tenure with one of the fastest 10.0 per cent falls in Wall Street stocks in history earlier this month. During his confirmation hearing in front of a Senate committee, Powell indicated that he would back the gradual rate hikes spearheaded by Yellen. Starved for yield in recent years, investors were forced into the stock market, driving up equity valuations, thanks to the Fed's policies.
Over time Mr. Powell's speeches have come to emphasize how the long spell of loose US monetary policy has given the labor market time to recover, allowing the unemployment rate to fall from a high of 10 per cent in 2009 to a 17-year low of 4.1 per cent in January this year. "Everyone assumes that Powell is Yellen 2.0".
His words come as U.S. jobless claims have dropped to just above their 45-year-low, and the solid manufacturing and consumer sectors suggest that inflation is set to gain momentum.
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